美国国债收益率飙升至一年来最高水平，给比特币流动性带来新问题

Bitcoin's April rebound is now facing a two-front macro test. The official Treasury curve for Apr. 29 placed the 10-year yield at 4.42% , the 30-year at 4.98%, and the 5-year at 4.05%. Today, market charts show the same pressure zone, with the 10-year near 4.40%, the 30-year near 5%, the 5-year near 4.04%, and WTI crude elevated. At the same time, Brent crude is trading above $126 , its highest level since 2022, after fresh reporting says President Donald Trump is willing to keep the Iran blockade in place for months. Bitcoin is trading near $76,049 today, about 40% below its October 2025 high. The broader crypto market is near $2.54 trillion, with Bitcoin dominance near 59.9%. Those levels put Bitcoin in a different kind of test. The decisive issue is whether the rate market is raising the price of taking risk faster than crypto demand can absorb it. If the 10-year yield moves toward or through 4.5%, Bitcoin's near-term ceiling may be set by oil, Treasury supply, real yields, and Fed liquidity operations before it is set by crypto-specific flow. The market question is direct: if bonds keep selling off, does Washington need to reduce geopolitical oil pressure or ease Treasury and Fed plumbing before Bitcoin can retake risk appetite? Bond yields are setting the first line The first pressure point is the nominal Treasury curve. A 10-year yield around 4.4% is already close to the level CryptoSlate highlighted in its recent Bitcoin bond-market analysis as the area where the $80,000 test becomes harder. Related Reading Bitcoin’s $80k test should be decided by the bond market this week Bitcoin's next move may come from Treasuries, as a breakout in 10-year yields could decide if BTC clears $80,000 or turns its inflow streak into another failed rally. Apr 28, 2026 · Gino Matos The Apr. 28 analysis argued that a break above 4.35%, moving toward a 4.6% upside area, could turn a renewed inflow streak into another failed rally at resistance. The Apr. 29 official curve put that