尽管美伊紧张局势继续扰乱市场，这些力量可能会在本周推高比特币

Bitcoin is entering one of its most consequential trading weeks since its February correction, with Middle East tensions pushing oil prices higher, inflation expectations hardening, and options traders positioning for a possible break above $85,000. According to CryptoSlate's data, the largest digital asset briefly dipped on Sunday after President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s latest response to a US peace proposal, then recovered above $82,000 before easing near $81,034 as of press time. The move kept Bitcoin inside the narrow range that has defined trading in recent weeks, even as geopolitical risk continued to feed into energy markets and rate expectations. Notably, Trump called Iran’s counteroffer “TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE” after Tehran sought war reparations, the unfreezing of blocked financial assets, and recognition of its sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. The waterway has become the main channel through which the US-Iran conflict is reaching global markets, given its role in the movement of oil and liquefied natural gas. That continued market tension has created a difficult setup for Bitcoin, as a prolonged oil shock can keep inflation sticky, delay Federal Reserve rate cuts, and pressure speculative assets. Yet Bitcoin has continued to hold near $80,000, while options data, fund flows, and Washington’s crypto calendar suggest traders may be underestimating the risk of an upside squeeze. Oil shock puts inflation back at the center The immediate test comes Tuesday, when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases April consumer price index data. Markets are bracing for a reacceleration in headline inflation after the surge in global oil prices, with economists expecting CPI to rise 0.6% from March and 3.7% from a year earlier, up from 3.3% in March. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, is expected to hold near 2.7% year over year. March already showed the strain from higher energy prices. CPI rose at the year's fastest annual pace, with the energy component