第二家比特币 ETF 发行人预测 BTC 价格将达到 100 万美元，但将时间表缩短到下一届美国总统任期内

Matthew Sigel of VanEck said Bitcoin could reach $1 million by the next US Presidential term. That puts a 1,150% increase as a 2031 target inside a market that is still trying to prove it can hold the $80,000 area. CryptoSlate's Bitcoin page shows BTC near $80,200 on May 9, with a market capitalization near $1.61 trillion and an all-time high of $126,198 set on Oct. 6, 2025. A move to $200,000, another price target being batted around lately, would require Bitcoin to rise roughly 2.5 times from that level. A move to $1 million would require roughly 12.5 times. Related Reading Bitcoin’s $150,000 forecast slash proves the institutional “sure thing” is actually a high-stakes gamble for 2026 Yet, new data shows $50 billion in ETF inflows could fundamentally break the four-year cycle and trap retail bears. Jan 23, 2026 · Liam 'Akiba' Wright Bitcoin has produced larger percentage moves before, but the current forecast cycle now rests on a market question: whether the latest institutional demand is strong enough to absorb coins being sold into the rebound. Bitcoin price chart showing projected Bitcoin cycle highs and pullbacks across multiple halving periods. Why seven-figure math is back The VanEck call lands alongside other seven-figure frameworks. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan laid out a formal $1 million model in March, arguing that Bitcoin can reach seven figures by gaining share as the store-of-value market expands. In his model, the market grows to about $121 trillion over 10 years, and Bitcoin reaches $1 million if it captures about 17% of the total. That is a different time horizon from Sigel's reported five-year view, but the logic overlaps. Both depend less on a single trading catalyst and more on Bitcoin becoming a larger part of how institutions, advisers, sovereign entities, and younger investors think about long-term savings outside the fiat banking system. VanEck's own research desk had already published a longer-range version of that argument. In a 2024 Bitcoin