这就是比特币陷入 80,000 美元以下的原因以及鲍威尔的 FOMC 会议对 BTC 价格的影响

Bitcoin entered yesterday's Fed decision already capped below a dense on-chain supply zone, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference gave buyers little reason to push through it. The Federal Reserve kept the target range at 3.5%-3.75% and explicitly linked elevated inflation to higher global energy prices, citing the tensions in the Middle East as a source of uncertainty for the economic outlook. Powell added to that framing in his opening remarks, estimating that total PCE ran at 3.5% through March, core PCE at 3.2%, and that higher oil prices are set to push overall inflation up in the near term. The committee also fractured in the most divided Fed vote since 1992. Eight officials held, one dissenter wanted a cut, while Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan objected to retaining any easing bias in the statement at all. The internal split exposed the committee's actual posture of easing bias and kept the language in the text, while three officials argued that the language was already too accommodating. For Bitcoin , the consequence is a macro environment where a dovish pivot has become harder to price , even as the March Summary of Economic Projections still showed a median 2026 fed funds rate of 3.4%, implying one cut this year. Futures markets came away pricing little chance of that cut materializing by year-end, with some traders putting a small probability on a hike over the next twelve months. Brent crude averaged $103 per barrel in March 2026, with EIA forecasting a peak near $115 in the second quarter before falling below $90 in the fourth quarter. The oil hinge The Fed's inflation problem traces to an external energy shock that Powell said the central bank cannot control. Brent oil averaged $103 per barrel in March, with the EIA forecasting a peak near $115 in the second quarter , followed by a decline below $90 in the fourth quarter. Both headline and core inflation are running hot through separate channels, as energy is pushing up PCE, while tariff effects c