由于参议院陷入僵局和银行压力，《澄清法案》面临两周的最后期限，该法案可能会被冻结到 2030 年

A coordinated push to enact the CLARITY Act is colliding with a rapidly closing legislative window, prompting warnings from industry advocates that a failure to pass the bill this spring could stall crypto developments until the end of the decade. With the November 2026 midterms looming, the legislative calendar is shrinking, and the complex jurisdictional divide among federal financial committees threatens to derail a bill that has been months in the making. The CLARITY Act, which advanced through the House of Representatives in July 2025 , remains bogged down in the Senate amidst an intense lobbying war between traditional financial institutions and the digital asset sector over the treatment of yield-bearing stablecoins. Crypto advocates are sounding the alarm that if the Senate Banking Committee does not schedule a markup soon, the legislation will be swallowed by election-year politics. Related Reading Digital Asset Market Clarity Act moves to House floor with bipartisan backing Advancing with bipartisan backing, the CLARITY Act aims to end jurisdictional ambiguity, designating oversight of digital assets to either the SEC or CFTC. Jun 11, 2025 · Liam 'Akiba' Wright In an X post, Sen. Cynthia Lummis echoed the growing anxiety across the digital asset space, while warning: “This is our last chance to pass the Clarity Act until at least 2030. We can’t afford to surrender America’s financial future.” Notably, market sentiment is already reflecting this pessimism. Bettors on the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket currently price the odds of the CLARITY Act passing this year at 58%, a sharp decline from 82% in February. On Kalshi, traders are projecting just a 13% probability that the legislation passes before June, 28% before July, and a 62% chance it remains unresolved into 2027. A shifting industry consensus Despite the tightening timeline, the crypto industry is presenting an increasingly united front, driven by a series of high-profile reversals. The