由于好坏参半的宏观数据为比特币创造了看涨的基础，比特币的涨势脱离了美国股市

Bitcoin's move above $80,000 is testing whether its latest break from the S&P 500 reflects a real macro regime shift or the market's most liquid risk switch reacting to two different clocks. After months of Bitcoin following the US stock market open in terms of direction, volatility, and stress, it appears to be decoupling from the AI-fed S&P 500 . Bitcoin breakout amid S&P 500 decline on May 4 The contradiction showed up as the usual pressure points moved against equities. Oil jumped after the latest flare-up in the Iran war. Treasury yields moved higher. The dollar firmed. U.S. stocks fell from record levels. Yet Bitcoin stayed near the $80,000 area instead of following SPY lower in the same way it had during earlier oil spikes. Related Reading Bitcoin is surging when oil goes up but only when the US stock market is closed Bitcoin rose with crude oil while US equities were closed, then reversed as the S&P 500 fell, leaving flows, oil, and Fed risk in conflict. Apr 29, 2026 · Liam 'Akiba' Wright The data points to a more complicated market than a clean refuge from stress. BTC may now be trading at the intersection of AI-led risk appetite, ETF-linked brokerage demand, and a geopolitical oil shock that is pushing bond markets back into focus. The next morning made the setup harder to reduce to a single bullish story. Oil eased, U.S. futures edged higher, and the cross-asset split appeared to flip direction. Bitcoin vs macro assets May 5 If Bitcoin can rise while SPY falls, then soften while equities firm, the story may be less about one correlation breaking and more about Bitcoin responding to a different lead market at different times of day. A split between oil shock and risk appetite The May 4 session gave the divergence a credible macro backdrop. The S&P 500 fell 0.4% , the Dow dropped 1.1%, and the Nasdaq slipped 0.2% as Brent crude settled 5.8% higher at $114.44. The move came after renewed Middle East fighting threatened the Iran-war ceasefire and complicated