比特币正在挤入 7.8 万美元的“真实市场均值”，美联储和零售数据将决定下一步行动

Bitcoin is pushing up against a patch of resistance right as the bigger economic picture gets trickier. The price is pushing toward $75,000, with some important on-chain sellers stepping in and two big US data releases on deck. These will determine whether Bitcoin can break through $ 78,1 and get knocked back again. According to an Apr. 15 report by Glassnode, the current setup is at a measurable level of tension. Short-Term Holder Supply in Profit sits at 43.2%, still below the roughly 54.2% level where bear market rallies have historically exhausted, leaving room to climb. However, the 30-day EMA of the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio has reached 1.16, indicating that investors are selling on strength more than buying dips. BTC touched an intraday high of $75,218 , leaving 5.2% of the distance to the ceiling. Why this matters Bitcoin is not just grinding higher on momentum; it is colliding with a price zone where past bear market rallies have failed while investors lock in profits. With the next retail sales report and Fed decision days away, this stretch sets up a clean test of whether fresh demand can overpower selling into strength or whether the rally exhausts below $78,100 again. Glassnode describes the current move as a relief rally inside an ongoing bear market structure and says any sustained break above $78,100 requires fresh demand capable of absorbing the overhead supply investors have been unloading into the bounce. That demand catalyst has yet to materialize, which is why the macro calendar arriving in the next two weeks carries more weight than usual. Related Reading Bitcoin price soars to 4 week high passing multiple resistance levels within hours with eyes on $77k Bitcoin has cleared a multi-month resistance ladder, shifting focus to whether the former ATH zone can hold as support and sustain continuation higher. Apr 14, 2026 · Liam 'Akiba' Wright The levels that decide the move Glassnode organizes the price map around three zones. The first real test s