تتجه Bitcoin إلى قرار بنك الاحتياطي الفيدرالي اليوم بالسعر المحدد الذي قد يبيعه أقوى حامليها أخيرًا

Bitcoin's rebound is running straight into one of the few events it can't price in advance. After climbing back toward $80,000 on the back of renewed institutional buying and a nine-day ETF inflow streak, BTC pulled back to around $76,500 on Tuesday before recovering early Wednesday to around $77,800 as the Federal Reserve began its two-day meeting in Washington. The policy statement drops today, April 29 at 2 p.m. ET, followed by Chair Jerome Powell's press conference at 2:30 p.m. The same rally that proved Bitcoin's resilience has now carried it into the exact zone where that resilience gets tested in earnest, with a large share of the investor base approaching break-even just as the Fed prepares to speak. $80,000 is a behavioral breaking point To understand why $80,000 is drawing so much attention, it helps not to think about it as a price target. Instead, look at it as a threshold that defines what a given investor decides to do next. Bitwise's recent report identified a cluster of cost-basis measures sitting directly in the current price zone: the short-term holder cost basis near $80,000, the True Market Mean around $79,000, and the average Bitcoin ETF inflow cost basis in the same range. This means that a meaningful portion of the investor base that's been holding through months of volatility is now approaching the point where it can sell without a loss. When markets recover to break-even levels, holders face a genuine fork in the road. They can treat the rebound as evidence that their conviction was warranted, hold their positions, and let the thesis play out over a longer horizon. Or they can use the recovery as the exit they've been waiting for, particularly if macro conditions feel too uncertain to justify continued exposure to a volatile asset. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows for nine consecutive trading days through April 24, adding about $2.12 billion since April 14, a run that suggests the institutional bid remains intact. The question Wednesday's F